I have been looking more deeply at correlations between Local elections and General Elections and also considering in depth the UKIP COllapse and Increase in Voter Turnout in 2017.The Broad outlines of my own analysis I put in a reply to Mike my Old friend with who I discuss these sorts of things regularly on Skype.
Re: WELL!!….THE TORIES MOSTLY OFF THE HOOK….I’M SURPRISED…WHAT’S YOUR TAKE?Roger Lewis9:43 AM (22 minutes ago)to MTFHi Mike, I think it shows that the BBC Bias has a great effect and that the pollsters are also seeking to spin their own research.
Analysis at a deeper level is needed and the good analysis that exists is also flawed as generally speaking comes from Polling organisations who are as trustworthy as Ratings agencies in Finance.Take the Dr Prosser chap in my blog he is clearly a good statistician but knows which side his bread is buttered on He knows the game see these Tweets re Peer review.MoreI obviously have complete faith in the integrity of the publication process at that journal
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@caprosserApr 28More2) A reviewer blatantly lied in a review in order to spike my paper.
I think I have a pretty good idea of who they were too (I had the temerity to disagree with something they had written) and that person is now the editor of an important journal.2 replies0 retweets0 likesReply 2 RetweetLike Direct messageShow this thread
@caprosserApr 28MoreChris Prosser Retweeted TimesHigherEducation
There were two reviews that opened my eyes to grubby reality of the peer review process as a grad student.1) A reviewer confidently told me I shouldn’t include the main effect terms of my interaction because they were collinear with the interaction term.Chris Prosser added,TimesHigherEducationVerified account
@timeshigheredWhat’s the worst piece of peer review you’ve ever received? Six academics share theirs. http://bit.ly/2A8xLtb1 reply1 retweet1 likeReply 1 Retweeted 1Liked 1 Direct message
Forget about the Tories and look at Labour, some claims that the ” Anti Semitism **Row has cost Labour in Jewish areas, Barnet and Leeds, Areas in Manchester etc. This was a strong play to get a bandwagon going against Corbyn, calls for Labour to be ahead in the Polls at this stage and so forth are much weaker than two years ago during the 2016 and 2017 Local elections.The main point is ignored Mike and that is which media will influence the next General election, Election Purdah regarding Bias in the Fourth Estate remains a strong influence in a large cohort of voters who decide at the last minute who they vote for, Voters in Local Elections are pretty much those whose minds are already made up.On this SLog Blog I rate it a rare Miss, the Corbyn Smoke seems to get in the eyes of our otherwise Ideology Free hero.
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