David Malone: Ungarbled (I Hope) Pt.1 A review of My interview of David Malone #GolemXIV #GrubStreetJournal meet @1000frolly 1000FrollyPhD https://t.co/pgHtQ7d0qv via @wordpressdotcom #GrubStreetScience#GrubStreetEnergy#GrubStreetGreenFascism#GrubStreetWrongKindOfGreen — GrubStreetJournal (@GrubStreetJorno) July 22, 2019 #GrubStreetTags #GrubStreetJournal #GrubStreetPolitics
David Malone: Ungarbled (I Hope) Pt.1 A review of My interview of David Malone #GolemXIV #GrubStreetJournal meet @1000frolly 1000FrollyPhD https://t.co/pgHtQ7d0qv via @wordpressdotcom #GrubStreetScience#GrubStreetEnergy#GrubStreetGreenFascism#GrubStreetWrongKindOfGreen — GrubStreetJournal (@GrubStreetJorno) July 22, 2019
Roger Lewis and David Malone: One Interview To Unite Them All.
First of all, I’d like to introduce the interviewer Roger Lewis (left) who was, to me, most unexpected in his approach, the interview was no love in and he was not afraid to challenge David on the basis of his own views and outlook, for example on Brexit. I only know Roger through the blogosphere and the first surprise to me was his appearance. I’d imagined him as the type who went to bed in a suit and tie and only slightly loosened his collar when the temperature exceeded 35 degrees celsius. Instead I was confronted by a sanitised version of Catweasle! Long flowing locks and moustache, I hope he’ll forgive the Catweasle reference, casual clothes but a razor-sharp mind. There was an obvious chemistry between the two so even in times of disagreement there was no shouting across each other, both were able to make their points informatively.
This Interview was over two years ago, it was the previous Summer which I spent assisting David with his Leadership bid for the Green Party of England and Wales,
There has been a lot of water flowed under the Ye Olde Pont since then, as they say, and if a week is a long time in politics then the past 4 years has been an Eon, certainly, some sort of warp in space-time or maybe a paradigm shift has occurred.
From my first comment on Davids Blog and since I started reading that Blog after following a reference to it from Sturdy Blog which was a staple of my reading at the time, Davids approach has always been one of encouragement and inspiration.
Hi there, now you are as angry as myself, the biggest financial scam in history. Great statistical research you have there. You might be interested in checking out David Malone’s blog, author of “The Debt Generation” it is a goldmine of relevant information concerning this subject & others relevant to it. Thank You for your efforts.
David and I occupy separate sides of the debate on Climate and in Bills blog here I just note what a pleasure it is always to chat with David even when we do not agree.
There was an obvious chemistry between the two so even in times of disagreement there was no shouting across each other, both were able to make their points informatively.
In the next segment David and Roger discuss Neo-Liberalism (NL) which I attempted to do here and here.
The Green Party Climate Change Bit.
On Climate Change and The Spectre of Green Party Stalisnist denier Gulags, I have been busy fighting a rearguard action for quite some time now against a climate of Climate Activist religious topic sliding.
When past predictions of future catastrophic events like ice sheet melt, spreading tropical diseases, and forest fragmentation start to become reality while no substantial means to prevent them from happening has ever been implemented, you begin to question the phrase so often bandied about that “it’s never too late.” It was never too late decades ago and we’re still holding out on that hope. Despite any techno-utopian fantasies you hear in the news, economic activity and growth are still linked to CO2 emissions. Until this fundamental truth is dealt with, we’ll all be spinning our wheels and wringing our hands over our continued descent into ecological and societal collapse. Perhaps this is part of the reason I have not blogged recently. As Leonard Nimoy expressed in his last twitter message, I think I’ll try to enjoy the here and now while I’m alive…
My new paper, a kind of ‘sequel’ to (it’s been published next in the same series as) Jem Bendell’s epochal and massively-influential paper on ‘Deep adaptation’, is out: https://iflas.blogspot.com/…/post-civilisation-iflas-occasi…
Please read/circulate. Thanks. This is perhaps my most-significant yet contribution to the emerging discourse around preparing ourselves to face up to potential climate- and societal- collapse:
IFLAS is pleased that philosopher, Chair of Green House thinktank, and leading member of Extinction Rebellion, Dr Rupert Read has
That is aimed at the obvious forum sliding taking place on Dr Tim Morgans Blog ingroup bias there is of the Climate Religion sort, ingroup bias on this thread is Monetarist, John and I had a dialogue live on Skype. read or watch here. https://t.co/myszLYGgXX#GrubStreetJournal
— GrubStreetJournal (@GrubStreetJorno) July 22, 2019
That is aimed at the obvious forum sliding taking place on Dr Tim Morgans Blog ingroup bias there is of the Climate Religion sort, ingroup bias on this thread is Monetarist, John and I had a dialogue live on Skype. read or watch here. https://t.co/myszLYGgXX#GrubStreetJournal
YouTube Tip: As usual run at Settings; Playback Speed; Times 1.5
Climate Science 1; There is No “Greenhouse Effect”
This video is the first in a series which will outline the scientific reasons why a new null hypothesis of climate change is needed, and what is wrong with the current one, which assumes a 33c surface enhancement from the so-called “Greenhouse Effect” of “Greenhouse Gases”. it will be shown that there is another cause of this surface thermal enhancement, and that the so-called “Greenhouse Gases” cannot be responsible for it. The ‘greenhouse effect’ is where a 33c atmospheric thermal enhancement at the Earth’s surface, is alleged to be caused by a class of gases called ‘greenhouse gases’. I will show, in this series, that the claimed 33c enhancement from those gases does not exist. YouTube Tip: As usual run at Settings; Playback Speed; Times 1.5
References; Holmes, R. I. (2018). Thermal Enhancement on Planetary Bodies and the Relevance of the Molar Mass Version of the Ideal Gas Law to the Null Hypothesis of Climate Change. Earth, 7(3), 107-123.
Climate Science 2; There is No “Extra Warming” to Explain
This the second in my Climate Science series debunking the greenhouse effect. Climate Science 1 revealed that our atmosphere is not like a greenhouse; instead it’s the exact opposite – it’s capable of expansion and convection. Here we explore the science and the climate cycles which the IPCC forgot to mention, and how they are totally controlling all current climate change. We find that there actually is no ‘extra’ warming that we need to invoke a supposed ‘greenhouse effect’ from CO2 or other ‘greenhouse gases’ to fill. Correction to CO2 forcing at 9:42 it is 0.01W/m2 not 0.1W/m2. YouTube Tip: As usual run at Settings; Playback Speed; Times 1.5 References; Shaviv, N. J. (2003). The spiral structure of the Milky Way, cosmic rays, and ice age epochs on Earth. New Astronomy, 8(1), 39-77. Cederlöf, M. (2014). Using seasonal variations to estimate earth’s response to radiative forcing. Shaviv, N. J. (2003). The spiral structure of the Milky Way, cosmic rays, and ice age epochs on Earth. New Astronomy, 8(1), 39-77. 65 million years of climate change (WIKI Commons) 5 million years of climate change (WIKI Commons) Loehle, C. (2007). A 2000-year global temperature reconstruction based on non-treering proxies. Energy & Environment, 18(7), 1049-1058. Usoskin, I. G., Solanki, S., & Kovaltsov, G. (2007). Grand minima and maxima of solar activity: new observational constraints. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 471(1), 301-309. Steinhilber, F., Abreu, J. A., Beer, J., Brunner, I., Christl, M., Fischer, H., . . . McCracken, K. G. (2012). 9,400 years of cosmic radiation and solar activity from ice cores and tree rings. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(16), 5967-5971. Lüdecke, H.-J. (2011). Long-term instrumental and reconstructed temperature records contradict anthropogenic global warming. Energy & Environment, 22(6), 723-745. C-14 record from the USGA Lüdecke, H.-J., Hempelmann, A., & Weiss, C. (2013). Multi-periodic climate dynamics: spectral analysis of long-term instrumental and proxy temperature records. Climate of the Past, 9(1), 447-452. Sromovsky, L., Fry, P., Limaye, S., & Baines, K. (2003). The nature of Neptune’s increasing brightness: Evidence for a seasonal response. Icarus, 163(1), 256-261. Schmude Jr, R. W., Baker, R. E., Fox, J., Krobusek, B. A., Pavlov, H., & Mallama, A. (2016). The secular and rotational brightness variations of Neptune. arXiv preprint arXiv:1604.00518.
Climate Science 3; There is No “Greenhouse Effect” on Venus Either
This the third in my Climate Science series debunking the so-called ‘greenhouse effect’. Climate Science 1 revealed that our atmosphere is not like a greenhouse; instead it’s the exact opposite – it’s capable of expansion and convection. Climate Science 2 explored the science and the climate cycles which the IPCC forgot to mention, and how they are totally controlling all current climate change. We find that there actually is no ‘extra’ warming that we need to invoke a supposed ‘greenhouse effect’ from CO2 or other ‘greenhouse gases’ to fill. Climate Science 3 looks into the claim that Venus is hot because of the ‘greenhouse effect’ of carbon dioxide. The calculation I did for Venus at 11:30 also works out for Titan, (another body with a surface pressure of over 1 bar). I have done it here; Titan Tt =∜0.01089 x Te Tt = 0.323 x 288 Tt = 93 Kelvin This gives the calculated temperature on Titan at 1 bar as 93 Kelvin. Measurements by the lander Huygens in it’s descent trough the Titan atmosphere, show that the temperature at 1 bar is around 90 Kelvin. PLEASE! I did not say that the bottom ~4km of atmosphere of Venus is a ‘liquid’ or a ‘solid’! It is a super-critical fluid. Please read the definition here; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supercr… YouTube Tip: As usual run at Settings; Playback Speed; Times 1.5 References; Hollingsworth, J., Young, R., Schubert, G., Covey, C., & Grossman, A. (2007). A simple‐physics global circulation model for Venus: Sensitivity assessments of atmospheric superrotation. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(5). Svedhem, H., Titov, D. V., Taylor, F. W., & Witasse, O. (2007). Venus as a more Earth-like planet. Nature, 450(7170), 629-632. Landis, G., Dyson, R., McGuire, M., Oleson, S., Schmidt, G., Grantier, J., . . . Fincannon, J. (2011). Human Telerobotic Exploration of Venus: A Flexible Path Design Study. Paper presented at the 49th AIAA Aerospace Sciences Meeting including the New Horizons Forum and Aerospace Exposition. Moroz, V., Ekonomov, A., Moshkin, B., Revercomb, H., Sromovsky, L., Schofield, J., . . . Tomasko, M. G. (1985). Solar and thermal radiation in the Venus atmosphere. Advances in Space Research, 5(11), 197-232. Jelbring, H. (2003). The “Greenhouse Effect” as a Function of Atmospheric Mass. Energy & Environment, 14(2), 351-356. Pauli, W. (1988). Exclusion principle, Lorentz group and reflection of space-time and charge Wolfgang Pauli (pp. 459-479): Springer.
Climate Science 4; The Ice CO2 Record is “Probably Wrong” Too.
This the fourth in my Climate Science series debunking the so-called ‘greenhouse effect’. Climate Science 4; The Ice Core Record of CO2 is “Probably Wrong” Too. Climate Science 1 revealed that our atmosphere is not like a greenhouse; instead it’s the exact opposite – it’s capable of expansion and convection. Climate Science 2 explored the science and the climate cycles which the IPCC forgot to mention, and how they are totally controlling all current climate change. We find that there actually is no ‘extra’ warming that we need to invoke a supposed ‘greenhouse effect’ from CO2 or other ‘greenhouse gases’ to fill. Climate Science 3 looked into the claim that Venus is hot because of the ‘greenhouse effect’ of carbon dioxide. Climate Science 4 looks into the ice core record for CO2, and critically examines whether it is correct or not. REFERENCES; UAH MSU satellite temperature graph, 1979-2019 EPICA DOME C ice core record, NOAA Luthi, 2008. Earth System Laboratory, Moana Loa CO2 record, 1958-2019n Petit, J.-R., Jouzel, J., Raynaud, D., Barkov, N. I., Barnola, J.-M., Basile, I., . . . Delaygue, G. (1999). Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica. Nature, 399(6735), 429-436. Shaviv, N. J., & Veizer, J. (2003). Celestial driver of Phanerozoic climate? GSA today, 13(7), 4-10. IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report 2014 Ciais, P., Sabine, C., Bala, G., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V., Canadell, J., . . . Heimann, M. (2014). Carbon and other biogeochemical cycles Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 465-570): Cambridge University Press. Steinthorsdottir, M., Wohlfarth, B., Kylander, M. E., Blaauw, M., & Reimer, P. J. (2013). Stomatal proxy record of CO 2 concentrations from the last termination suggests an important role for CO 2 at climate change transitions. Quaternary science reviews, 68, 43-58. Barnola, J. M., Raynaud, D. Y. S. N., Korotkevich, Y. S., & Lorius, C. (1987). Vostok ice core provides 160,000-year record of atmospheric CO2. Nature, 329(6138), 408. Barnola, J., Anklin, M., Porcheron, J., Raynaud, D., Schwander, J., & Stauffer, B. (1995). CO2 evolution during the last millennium as recorded by Antarctic and Greenland ice. Tellus B, 47(1‐2), 264-272. McKay, C. P., Pollack, J. B., & Courtin, R. (1991). The greenhouse and antigreenhouse effects on Titan. Science, 253(5024), 1118-1121. Jaworowski, Z., Segalstad, T. V., & Ono, N. (1992). Do glaciers tell a true atmospheric CO 2 story? Science of the total environment, 114, 227-284. Kouwenberg, L. L. R. (2004). Application of conifer needles in the reconstruction of Holocene CO2 levels. Liu, Y., Cai, Q., Song, H., An, Z., & Linderholm, H. W. (2011). Amplitudes, rates, periodicities and causes of temperature variations in the past 2485 years and future trends over the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau. Chinese science bulletin, 56(28), 2986-2994. Fonselius, S., Koroleff, F., & WÄRME, K. E. (1956). Carbon dioxide variations in the atmosphere. Tellus, 8(2), 176-183. Slocum, G. (1955). Has the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere changed significantly since the beginning of the twentieth century. Month. Weather Rev, 83, 225-231. Lepori, L., Bussolino, G., Matteoli, E., & Spanedda, A. On the increase of fossil CO2 in the atmosphere. Segalstad, T. V. (1998). Carbon cycle modelling and the residence time of natural and anthropogenic atmospheric CO2. BATE, R.(Ed., 1998): Global Warming, 184-219. Quirk, T. (2009). Sources and sinks of carbon dioxide. Energy & Environment, 20(1), 105-121. Harde, H. (2014). Advanced Two-Layer Climate Model for the Assessment of Global Warming by CO2. Harde, H. (2017). Scrutinizing the carbon cycle and CO 2 residence time in the atmosphere. Global and Planetary Change, 152, 19-26. Lepori, L., Bussolino, G., Matteoli, E., & Spanedda, A. On the increase of fossil CO2 in the atmosphere. Allen, M. R., Barros, V. R., Broome, J., Cramer, W., Christ, R., Church, J. A., . . . Dubash, N. K. (2014). IPCC Fifth Assessment Synthesis Report-Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report. Essenhigh, R. H. (2009). Potential dependence of global warming on the residence time (RT) in the atmosphere of anthropogenically sourced carbon dioxide. Energy & Fuels, 23(5), 2773-2784. Lüdecke, H.-J., Weiss, C., & Hempelmann, A. (2015). Paleoclimate forcing by the solar De Vries/Suess cycle. Climate of the Past Discussions, 11(1), 279-305. Last Graph; Neff, U., Burns, S., Mangini, A., Mudelsee, M., Fleitmann, D., & Matter, A. (2001). Strong coherence between solar variability and the monsoon in Oman between 9 and 6 ky ago. Nature, 411(6835), 290-293.
Climate Science 5; The IPCC’s Forcing Estimates are Wrong Too
This the fifth in my Climate Science series debunking the so-called ‘greenhouse effect’. Climate Science 5; The IPCCs Forcing Estimates are Wrong Too. REFERENCES; Neyman, J. (1937). X—outline of a theory of statistical estimation based on the classical theory of probability. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. CMIP5 Models uses 73 and 42 models. Compartison with HadCRUT4 courtesy Ed Hawkins, 2013. Carbon-14 from the US Geological Survey, last 1,000 years. HadCRUT3 data; http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem… Scafetta, N. (2010). Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 72(13), 951-970. Foukal, P., at al (2006). Variations in solar luminosity and their effect on the Earth’s climate. Nature, 443(7108), 161-166. Svensmark, H. (2007b). Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges. Astronomy & Geophysics, 48(1), 1.18-11.24. Aizen, E. M., et al (2016). Abrupt and moderate climate changes in the mid-latitudes of Asia during the Holocene. Journal of glaciology, 62(233), 411-439. Rosenthal, Y., Linsley, B. K., & Oppo, D. W. (2013). Pacific ocean heat content during the past 10,000 years. Science, 342(6158), 617-621. Lüdecke, H.-J. (2011). Long-term instrumental and reconstructed temperature records contradict anthropogenic global warming. Energy & Environment, 22(6), 723-745. Rydval, M., et al. (2017). Reconstructing 800 years of summer temperatures in Scotland from tree rings. Climate Dynamics, 1-24. Zhang, H., at al (2015). Late Holocene climate change and anthropogenic activities in north Xinjiang: Evidence from a peatland archive, the Caotanhu wetland. The Holocene, 25(2), 323-332. Yan, H., et al. (2014). Higher sea surface temperature in the northern South China Sea during the natural warm periods of late Holocene than recent decades. Chinese science bulletin, 59(31), 4115-4122. Orth, R., et al (2016). Did European temperatures in 1540 exceed present-day records? Environmental Research Letters, 11(11), 114021. Kaniewski, D.et al (2011). The medieval climate anomaly and the Little Ice Age in coastal Syria inferred from pollen-derived palaeoclimatic patterns. Global and Planetary Change, 78(3), 178-187. Ladurie, E. L. R., Delibrias, G., & Ladurie, M. L. R. (1975). La forêt de Grindelwald: nouvelles datations. Paper presented at the Annales. Économies, Sociétés, Civilisations. Lamb, H. H. (2013). Climate: Present, Past and Future (Routledge Revivals): Volume 1: Fundamentals and Climate Now (Vol. 1): Routledge. Tozer, C. R., Vance, T. R., Roberts, J. L., Kiem, A. S., Curran, M. A., & Moy, A. D. (2016). An ice core derived 1013-year catchment-scale annual rainfall reconstruction in subtropical eastern Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20(5), 1703. He, Y., Liu, W., Zhao, C., Wang, Z., Wang, H., Liu, Y., . . . Liu, Z. (2013). Solar influenced late Holocene temperature changes Usoskin, I. G., Solanki, S., & Kovaltsov, G. (2007). Grand minima and maxima of solar activity: new observational constraints. Solanki, S. K., Usoskin, I. G., Kromer, B., Schüssler, M., & Beer, J. (2004). Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years. Nature, 431(7012), 1084-1087. Scafetta, N., & Willson, R. C. (2014). ACRIM total solar irradiance satellite composite validation versus TSI proxy models. Shapiro, A., Schmutz, W., Rozanov, E., Schoell, M., Haberreiter, M., Shapiro, A., & Nyeki, S. (2011). A new approach to the long-term reconstruction of the solar irradiance leads to large historical solar forcing. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 529, A67. Herrera, V. V., Mendoza, B., & Herrera, G. V. (2015). Reconstruction and prediction of the total solar irradiance: Svensmark, H. (2007b). Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges. Astronomy & Geophysics, 48(1), 1.18-11.24. Shaviv, N. J. (2008). Using the oceans as a calorimeter to quantify the solar radiative forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 113(A11). Neff, U., Burns, S., Mangini, A., Mudelsee, M., Fleitmann, D., & Matter, A. (2001). Strong coherence between solar variability and the monsoon in Oman between 9 and 6 ky ago. Nature, 411(6835), 290-293. Gouretski, V., Kennedy, J., Boyer, T., & Köhl, A. (2012). Consistent near‐surface ocean warming since 1900 in two largely independent observing networks. Lansner, F., & Pedersen, J. O. P. (2018). Temperature trends with reduced impact of ocean air temperature, Energy & Environment Ljungqvist, F. C. (2010). A new reconstruction of temperature variability in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere during the last two millennia.
1000 frolly is Dr Robert Holmes
YouTube has Dr Holmes’ advertising funding totally! How to support his important work., and of course evidence-based science; Patreon support; https://www.patreon.com/1000Frolly
Jul 21, 2019 49 Labour’s Necrotising FasciitisA response to the BBC’s Panorama “Is Labour Antisemitic?” W Stephen Gilbert In the long history of party politics, coordinated and systematic attacks on one political party are always initiated and perpetuated by a rival party or parties. Not least of the ways in which the increasingly murderous row about …
— GrubStreetJournal (@GrubStreetJorno) July 22, 2019
“The impact on the entire field of scientific research is particularly clear and especially
pernicious. No project can be launched, on any subject whatsoever, unless it makes direct
reference to global warming. You want to look at the geology of the Garonne Basin? It is,
after all, an entirely normal and socially useful subject in every respect. Well, your research
will be funded, approved and published only if it mentions the potential for geological
storage of CO2. It is appalling.”
1. This simple calculation clearly demonstrates that there are not enough stations to model
the surface temperature of the globe, and satellites cannot replace surface stations. The
reduction in the number of sensors being used is fundamentally unsound: temperature
varies from one place to another, from one hour to the next, and this natural variability can
be tracked only by a very dense network of sensors. p.16
2. Determining an average temperature for a system as complex as the Earth has no physical
meaning. Unfortunately, this question, fundamental though it is, has never been tackled by
organizations involved in meteorology. For them, the answer is simple: you take all the
sensors and calculate the average! p.23
3. According to the British Met Office, ‗The global average temperature is
the arithmetic mean of the northern hemisphere average and the southern hemisphere
average.‘
This type of reasoning is being used by all the international bodies, and one might
legitimately question its validity. The thermodynamic mean, for its part, is too complicated
to apply and requires the use of models (with all their limitations and uncertainties).
We might, however, wonder why the arithmetic mean is also being used in areas that are
less well provided with sensors or have very high or very low temperatures. If we content
ourselves with an unweighted arithmetic mean, then areas with the highest density of
sensors are going to be over-represented!
Our conclusion here is very clear:
SCM SA White paper “Global Warming”, 2015/09
– to calculate the arithmetic mean for the entire planet makes no sense and can only
lead to errors;
– you can calculate the arithmetic mean for areas well provided with sensors (Europe
and the US), and compare the values from one year to another. This might provide
information on local climate variation. p.26/27
4. On CO2 Measurement and concentration,
Our conclusion is very clear: the entire methodology used to observe CO2 has to be
overhauled before we can even think about the results that have been obtained by these
observations. The first step is to correctly document the natural variability of CO2
concentrations (what affects them, and how do they manifest?). We must not forget that the
aim here is to make a global assessment of CO2 concentrations in the entire atmosphere.
Let us use a simple comparison to explain this. Let us imagine that we want to document
incidents of sins committed by human beings. Before concluding that ‗we can restrict our
investigations to the areas around cathedrals‘, which would at least have the merit of
simplicity, we would have to find out about the ‗natural‘ variability of sin. Perhaps, in fact,
more sins are committed far away from cathedrals? p.57
5. Cyclones.
3. Critical analysis
In this case, we have been able to obtain raw data and conduct our own analysis, which
clearly demonstrates, contrary to what we are all reading all the time, that there has been
no increase in the number of cyclones over the past 40 years. We have found a slight
increase in the number of Category 4 and 5 cyclones (the strongest), but the numbers are
very small each year, and the increase might simply be due to changes in ‗accounting
methods‘.
A common deception is as follows: you begin by looking at cyclones that reach the US
mainland (the ones that affect people and insurance companies) and you count them. Then
you change the perimeter and include all cyclones in the North Atlantic, including ones that
disperse at sea. Of course, the second group is bigger!
As we said earlier, the statistics presented here cover all cyclones in the North Atlantic. p.67
6. Sea Level Rises.
a. Two kinds of instruments are used:
• Marigraphs, which have been around for 200 years;
• Altimetry satellites, which measure the height of the satellite above the ocean; they
have been around for 20 years, namely Topex/Poseidon (1992), Jason 1 (2001), Jason
2 (2008).
The water level varies naturally:
• Due to the tides (lunar attraction)
• Due to wind and storms
• Due to sea currents
This being so, the estimates provided by marigraphs and satellites can be no more than
averages, if possible over one year or several years, as phenomena such as El Niño affect
the sea level for a year or more. p.68
b. E. Be careful! On Models. ( https://www.bitchute.com/video/dv8avoovsHqr/)
As this issue has taken on a major political dimension, all kinds of statements are made by
absolutely anyone at all. Great care is therefore called for when accepting information.
1. Models
Conclusions based on any kind of model should be disregarded. As the SCM specializes in
building mathematical models, we should also be recognized as competent to criticize them.
Models are useful when attempting to review our knowledge, but they should not be used as
76
SCM SA White paper “Global Warming”, 2015/09
Critical analysis
The rising sea level is a basic thesis for journalists, to support the doctrine of global
warming. They say, ―Look, the sea is rising, and so we are in danger‖.
It is perfectly true that the sea level is rising, but essentially this is due to the cooling down
of the core of the terrestrial globe which has been taking place gradually for five billion
years. As a result of this contraction, the lighter areas (the oceans) tend to rise up in
relation to the heavier areas (the mountains). This is simply a consequence of buoyancy,
and human beings have nothing to do with it. p.77
That’s Chapter 1 summarised and is sufficient for responding to the Pariah Status proffered upon me by Ron.
I would close only by Pointing interested and critical thinkers at the work of Clive Spash and his Paper The Brave New World of Carbon Trading.
“A FIRE, A FIRE IS BURNING! I HEAR THE BOOT OF LUCIFER, I SEE HIS FILTHY FACE! AND IT IS MY FACE, AND YOURS, DANFORTH! FOR THEM THAT QUAIL TO BRING MEN OUT OF IGNORANCE, AS I HAVE QUAILED, AND AS YOU QUAIL NOW WHEN YOU KNOW IN ALL YOUR BLACKHEARTS THAT THIS BE FRAUD – GOD DAMNS OUR KIND ESPECIALLY, AND WE WILL BURN, WE WILL BURN TOGETHER!”
― ARTHUR MILLER, THE CRUCIBLE
