LIVE NOT BY LIES. Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn .@Pathos14658352 @homeatix @wiki_ballot @rld_real_CPR @scientificecon @jbhearn @JoeBlob20 @financialeyes @DavidGolemXIV #Covidstroika

“And they put whomever they want on trial, and brand the healthy as mentally ill—and it is always “they,” while we are—helpless.

We are approaching the brink; already a universal spiritual demise is upon us; a physical one is about to flare up and engulf us and our children, while we continue to smile sheepishly and babble:

“But what can we do to stop it? We haven’t the strength.” Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn LIVE NOT BY LIES

https://www.solzhenitsyncenter.org/live-not-by-lies

https://questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-questions/detail/2021-07-12/31381 #covid #publichealth #health #Covidstroika

Mr Steve Baker

Conservative

Wycombe

Commons

To ask the Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, what his Department’s most recent estimate is of the covid-19 infection fatality rate.

Jo Churchill

Conservative

Bury St Edmunds

Commons

Answered on

27 August 2021

As of 15 July, Public Health England’s modelling group, with the MRC Biostats Unit, estimated that overall infection mortality rate is approximately 0.096%.

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01003-6

The modellers at Imperial, for instance, estimated in their 16 March report1 that 0.9% of people infected with COVID-19 would die (a figure adjusted to the United Kingdom’s specific demographics);

With rapid turnaround required by policymakers, even the best groups are in danger of slip ups, so another RAMP task was replication of influential work. We looked at the code for the modelling done by Neil Ferguson from Imperial College London. His group’s blandly-titled “Report 9” predicted half a million deaths from covid-19 if nothing was done, and is generally regarded as “The Science” behind the lockdown. Reading it carefully, we noticed something surprising—while all the proposed measures slowed the epidemic, school closures increased the total number of deaths. Our first thought was that it was a mistake, but after a little work on the code, we replicated the result. The basic explanation for this counter-intuitive result is that an intervention that substantially suppresses the first-wave of the epidemic leads to a stronger second wave once the interventions are lifted
Scientific predictions are often published to great fanfare, with retrospective analysis seldom attracting as much attention. Report 9 appeared in March, we completed our study in June, and a lot has happened since. Infections went down steadily during lockdown, as predicted, and at the time of writing are rising again, just as predicted. With hindsight, the Imperial model has proved remarkably accurate. It turned out that the experts really are expert.

Graeme J Ackland, professor of computer simulation, School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Edinburgh.

Competing interests: See full declaration on research paper.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/198155/neil-ferguson-talks-modelling-lockdown-scientific/

Lockdown may have prevented millions of deaths
This week Imperial’s Covid-19 Response Team published research in Nature, which found that large-scale lockdowns and school closures in Europe may have prevented 3.1m deaths.

Report 9 - Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-03-16-COVID19-Report-9.pdf

The infection fatality rate of COVID-19 in Stockholm
https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se › infection-…
PDF
Our data on deaths, and our definition of a COVID-19- attributable death,
The infection fatality rate of COVID-19 in Stockholm
https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/contentassets/53c0dc391be54f5d959ead9131edb771/infection-fatality-rate-covid-19-stockholm-technical-report.pdf

Covidstroika, Corked Wine in New bottles the Great Reset #WrongKindofGreen
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Exegi Monumentum
By A.S. Pushkin
Translated by A.Z. Foreman
We heard him say, “I will destroy this temple that is made with hands, and within three days I will build another made without hands.”
-Mark 14:58

I’ve reared a monument not built by human hands.
The public path to it cannot be overgrown.
With insubmissive head far loftier it stands
Than Alexander’s columned stone.

No, I shall not all die. My soul in hallowed berth
Of art shall brave decay and from my dust take wing,
And I shall be renowned while on this mortal earth
A single poet lives to sing.

Tidings of me shall spread through all the realm of Rus
And every tribe in Her shall name me as they speak:
The haughty western Pole, the east’s untamed Tungus,
North Finns and the south steppe’s Kalmyk.

And long shall I a man dear to the people be
For how my lyre once quickened kindly sentiment,
I in a tyrant age who sang of liberty,
And mercy toward fallen men.

To God and his commands pay Thou good heed, O Muse.
To praise and slander both be nonchalant and cool.
Demand no laureate’s wreath, think nothing of abuse,
And never argue with a fool.
http://poemsintranslation.blogspot.com/2013/10/pushkin-exegi-monumentum-from-russian.html


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/dec/06/professor-neil-ferguson-covid-modelling-epidemiologist-faces-of-2020
referring to the exposure of an incident in which his lover left her family home and visited him on at least two occasions, thus breaking lockdown rules. Some sections of the press could barely conceal their jubilation.

“I gave them an open goal to some extent,” he says, “and that was my own fault. I called it an error of judgment, but it was a mistake. Something I didn’t really think about at the time. In some sense, it was a risk-based judgment, which is exactly the wrong thing to do.”

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Author: rogerglewis

https://about.me/rogerlewis Looking for a Job either in Sweden or UK. Freelance, startups, will turń my hand to anything.

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