“THE BEGINNING OF WISDOM IS TO CALL THINGS BY THEIR PROPER NAME.” ― Confucius. So Tetlock not Tatlock then?

“THE BEGINNING OF WISDOM IS TO CALL THINGS BY THEIR PROPER NAME.” ― Confucius or Albert?

If we want realistic odds on what will happen next, coupled to a willingness to admit mistakes, we are better off turning to experts who embody the intellectual traits of Isaiah Berlin’s prototypical fox—

those who “know many little things,” draw from an eclectic array of traditions, and accept ambiguity and contradiction as inevitable features of life—than we are turning to Berlin’s hedgehogs—those who “know one big thing,” toil devotedly within one tradition, and reach for formulaic solutions to ill-defined problems

https://www.voltairenet.org/?lang=en

From May 2019.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ffKRd18Mqk

“THE BEGINNING OF WISDOM IS TO CALL THINGS BY THEIR PROPER NAME.” ― Confucius- 2019 Overview, Recap 2011-2019 – Contexts going forward, #BlockChain, #Disintermediation #Psychgraphics, #Propaganda, #Cambridge Analytica. Reality Based communities, Procrustean Elephant Graph fitting. Etc and so on and so forth.

( From Inside the Beltway.)

https://notthegrubstreetjournal.com/?s=Beltway

None of us is as smart as all of us?
Yet intelligence lies in the body of discourse of a network – of neurons or people – not in the isolated nodes.
As a culture, we’re only as smart as our connections & interaction rates allow.

Where does that leave us? Always less than what we could be, next.

“The institution of a bio-security police state”

Two Weeks To Flatten The World

… and then they cancelled dissenting twitter/Facebook/YouTube accounts.

Because …. of fear, and mistrust of collective self?
How do we adapt, if we don’t trust our collective self to discuss and evaluate?

An interesting perspective.

Freedom to speak? To hear? To be heard?
Freedom of assembly?
Freedom to mass communicate?
Freedom to connect?
Freedom to increase interaction rates, in order to tune feedback loops adaptively, not arbitrarily?
Fear of reaching consensus agreement?
That immediately implies factions have something to hide. And teamwork heads south.

With changing context, especially population scale, all considerations change unpredictably. Ultimately, we’re faced with:
Freedom to reorganize
Existential demand to re-gear, adapt and evolve.

This is not about taking sides. It’s about making a more perfect union, and surviving.
The glory (survival) really does go to those who find a better way.

All this leads back to an ancient observation.
More security doesn’t make us more secure.
In fact, too much security inevitably makes us less secure, as it generates paranoia, fear & mistrust.
Only intelligent context navigation delivers survival, by making a more perfect union.
Right now, we’re distracted, confused, divided and … being far less than what we could be.

Ain’t that the truth XXXXX.
This online Brain is very good.

https://webbrain.com/brainpage/brain/D36749F1-3A40-09FA-957F-41294B88CB70#-4988

Richard Grove whose brain it is, Maintains the Tragedy and hope Blog.

https://tragedyandhope.com/the-brain/

https://notthegrubstreetjournal.com/2022/04/04/connections-knowledge-web-mind-maps-and-brains-context-boundary-conditions-terminus-ante-quem-terminus-ad-quem/

´´if it were easy to set standards for judging judgment that would be honoured across the opinion spectrum and not glibly dismissed as another sneaky effort to seize the high ground for a favourite cause, someone would have patented the process long ago.´´

Tetlock, Philip E. (2005), Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

If we want realistic odds on what will happen next, coupled to a willingness to admit mistakes, we are better off turning to experts who embody the intellectual traits of Isaiah Berlin’s prototypical fox—those who “know many little things,” draw from an eclectic array of traditions, and accept ambiguity and contradiction as inevitable features of life—than we are turning to Berlin’s hedgehogs—those who “know one big thing,” toil devotedly within one tradition, and reach for formulaic solutions to ill-defined problems

Click to access Philip_E.Tetlock_Expert_Political_Judgment_HowBookos.org.pdf

in an open struggle between truth and falsehood, truth has nothing to fear. Do not look Left and right but up and down to find the answer you seek?

Best
Rog

Into the Valley
Betrothed and divine
Realisations no virtue
But who can define
Why soldiers go marching
Those masses a line
This disease is catching
From victory to stone

Ahoy! Ahoy! Land, sea and sky
Ahoy! Ahoy! Boy, man and soldier
Ahoy! Ahoy! Deceived and then punctured
Ahoy! Ahoy! Long may they die

Out of concealment
Blank and stark eyed
Why so uncertain
This culture deceives
Prophesised, brainwashed
Tomorrow’s demise
All systems failing
The placards unroll

Ahoy! Ahoy! Land, sea and sky
Ahoy! Ahoy! Boy, man and soldier
Ahoy! Ahoy! Deceived and then punctured
Ahoy! Ahoy! Long may they die

Time for the audit

1:02:15
that no one knows where this all ends up or where indeed we’re going but we do
1:02:22
know the direction of travel and the direction we’re moving in and so big
1:02:28
themes climate change carbon currency 5g
1:02:37
Internet of Things
1:02:45
federalization right down to the city state level and getting rid of nations
1:02:52
and really I mean in a way we’re turning
1:02:57
citizen citizens have been turned into consumers who in turn with this law are
1:03:03
being turned into ashes now you can look at that one way I’m not a number on the free man I’m not a number I’m a hash is
1:03:11
a hash the same as a free man well a hash can provide the protections of
1:03:16
anonymity in theory up to a point and so
1:03:22
those are three big themes here which are emerging as the narrative behind the
1:03:33
narrative what is the overarching direction of travel and what are the
1:03:41
strong currents we can identify in the current narratives on the surface level

The gathering trial

Mutual Aid: A Factor of Evolution #conquestofdough #SameoldNeo-Liberal-Tories #Corbyn4PM #Whyarewehere ?

A collectors dilemma

Repositioned and filed

https://www.kosmosjournal.org/wp-content/article-pdfs/the-commons-and-integral-capital.pdf

https://www.patreon.com/posts/grub-street-31075160

If one considers systems theory and Schumacher’s definitions of Convergent and divergent problems one sees that some DIvergent or “Wicked Problems” require a trial and error best-fit approach, this class of problem is however not ubiquitous, many problems as Schumacher and Roy Madron point out can be dissolved. This sort of theoretical approach to knowledge is very apparent in Google, Amazon, Facebook, and Establishment media narrative management and as Partick Ryan says in the Butterfly war reverse engineering and using the Silicon Teck monopoly’s own tools against its own underlying motivations is what those excluded from the magic circle should sensibly do, Adopt the same wing patterns to spoof entry. Allowing users of the Grub Street Web 3 platform to Enter or Exit through the gift shop as they desire. In generating metadata, there are a number of opportunities to produce, Summaries, Say chapter headings and paragraph subheadings, Keyword clouds, and Sentences in contexts, hence NGram is some of the focus today.Within Googles advanced search and Twitters advanced search functions users can gain a little more control over what results are served up, of course, a very large number of people wishing to give the appearance of Au Current chic, chattering class In the know “Dontcha know” types, are happily faking it til they make it which really is the American Way. Instead of first they came for the Socialists, then there was no one left these days its more, first they came for the Fred Perry polo necks, then they came for the Lacoste Sweaters, then they came for the Waitrose ready-made mealers. Of course, Selfridges, Fortnums and those with Osbourne and Little tastes have nothing to fear.“THE BEGINNING OF WISDOM IS TO CALL THINGS BY THEIR PROPER NAME.” ― Confucius- 2019

Connections, Knowledge Web Mind Maps and Brains. Context boundary conditions terminus ante quem, terminus ad quem

The Central Bank Coup det Tat. Hugh Hendry and Prof. Richard Werner , Are we headed for A 90’s style “Japanese” lost decade? #WAGTHECOV

Red Lines, Settled Science, The end of History and entitled Facts. If Truth were subject to Patent Law.

Me and Bobby Magee, it will be a long time gone. Fuedalism Going to California 4+20 = Neo Fuedalism “The Rise of Neo-Feudalism: A Warning to the Global Middle Class” by Joel Kotkin

in an open struggle between truth and falsehood, truth has nothing to fear. Do not look Left and right but up and down to find the answer you seek?

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Author: rogerglewis

https://about.me/rogerlewis Looking for a Job either in Sweden or UK. Freelance, startups, will turń my hand to anything.

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