https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_WELL

No one should say that analyzing all of these variables is easy, it is always a temptation to blank out the conclusions and opinions of other people with who we might disagree or even just dis-like. Availability of Energy is extremely important piecing together the opaque picture is clearly in the interests of all even those seemingly most interested and closest to immediate implications of conclusions reached and acted upon.

Everything living evolves, but humans evolve culturally as well as biologically, and that puts us in a peculiar relation to the rest of life, with a peculiar responsibility. If we can understand how cultural evolution works, we’ll have a better handle on how to manage our responsibilities. The question that Ehrlich has been exploring lately is whether cultural evolution really does show patterns that would yield predictive theory. He now has data from Polynesian canoes that indicate the answer is yes, cultural evolution is patterned enough to predict with. We can discover a new way to comprehend our own behavior and perhaps influence it to the benefit of life. Entomologist and population biologist Paul Ehrlich is President of Stanford’s Center for Conservation Biology, author and co-author of books ranging from “The Population Bomb”: http://www.amazon.com/Population-Bomb… (1968) to “One With Nineveh”: http://www.amazon.com/One-Nineveh-Pol… (2004), recipient of many awards, including a MacArthur Fellowship, the Blue Planet Prize, and the Nobel-level Crafoord Prize.

Via trade and other cultural activities, “ideas have sex,” and that drives human history in the direction of inconstant but accumulative improvement over time. The criers of havoc keep being proved wrong. A fundamental optimism about human affairs is deeply rational and can be reliably conjured with. Trained at Oxford as a zoologist and an editor at “The Economist” for eight years, Matt Ridley’s is the author of “The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves”. His earlier works include “Francis Crick”; “Nature via Nurture”; “Genome”; and “The Origins of Virtue”. “Deep Optimism” was given on March 22, 02011 as part of Long Now’s Seminar series. The series was started in 02003 to build a compelling body of ideas about long-term thinking from some of the world’s leading thinkers. The Seminars take place in San Francisco and are curated and hosted by Stewart Brand. To follow the talks, you can:

EROEI and ECOE The theory and Maurice Adelman the Empirical Evidence.SEEDS of Doubt, Do the facts don’t fit the theory?

THE STARTING POINT
The economics of mineral scarcity were summed up in the 1952 report of the
Paley Commission (1). One member was my great teacher, Edward Mason of
Harvard (2). As Boswell said of Johnson:
His superiority over other learned men consisted chiefly in … a certain continual power
of seizing the useful substance of all that he knew, and exhibiting it in a clear and forcible
manner; so that knowledge, which we often see to be no better than lumber in men of dull
understanding, was, in him, true, evident and actual wisdom.
As Mason might have said about mineral scarcity: Forget about running out
of anything. What counts is the cost of new supply. To know this cost, follow
the price, generated not in The Market, but in a particular market. The price in
the market may reflect not only supply and demand, but also control by one or
a few sellers, who can act together to offer less and charge more. So detecting and allowing for market control is high on the agenda for understanding
price.
ABSTRACT

The crude oil and natural gas markets have a long colorful history. To understand
them, one needs some economic theory. The dominant view, of a fixed mineral stock, implies that a unit produced today means one less in the future. As
mankind approaches the limit, it must exert ever more effort per unit recovered.
This concept is false, whether stated as common sense or as elegant theory. Under competition, the price results from endless struggle between depletion and
increasing knowledge. But sellers may try to control the market in order to offer
less and charge more. The political results may feed back upon market behavior.
These factors—depletion, knowledge, monopoly, and politics—must be analyzed
separately before being put together to capture a slice of a changing history

The other side of the story

https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.601.5271&rep=rep1&type=pdf ” data-medium-file=”https://i0.wp.com/notthegrubstreetjournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Duncan-and-Campbell-otherside.jpg?fit=300%2C151&ssl=1″ data-large-file=”https://i0.wp.com/notthegrubstreetjournal.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/Duncan-and-Campbell-otherside.jpg?fit=708%2C357&ssl=1″ data-recalc-dims=”1″ data-lazy-loaded=”1″>

No one should say that analyzing all of these variables is easy, it is always a temptation to blank out the conclusions and opinions of other people with who we might disagree or even just dis-like. Availability of Energy is extremely important piecing together the opaque picture is clearly in the interests of all even those seemingly most interested and closest to immediate implications of conclusions reached and acted upon.

https://longbets.org/

No Stephen I would not wish to indulge your wish for a “Long Bet ” for charity or indeed for profit.
and John Adams, I have posted a detailed blog of the differences of emphasis which Tim and I have regarding Energy Based economics and the interpretation of the historical course of Political Economy in the Age of Capital. ( Kapital).

LIVE DEBATE NIGHT

Did you hear the one about the Blind Straw-man leading the Blind Straw-men. A Utopia of Usurers . the plutocratic appeal to science, or, rather, to the pseudo-science that they call Seeds.

“Money” YOU SAY #ARYANS I SAY #ARIANS, Inflation, Cui Bono Who Benefits? Tim Morgans Seeds Falsified? #239: Life after liberalism? Posted on September 13, 2022 THE CESSATION OF GROWTH CHANGES EVERYTHING

A talk with Stewart Brand [8.18.09]