Quotes

Leadership battle in the Green Party

via Leadership battle in the Green Party

I have not even got a whiff of a Green Party election? The green party has ceased to be even remotely relevant.
I made this FIlm in Support of Shahrar two years ago, I think its tongue in Cheek critique of Green Identity Politics portents to the irrelevance the Green party has now attained!

Green Party Leadership: Shahrar Ali, or Rosi Sexton? (Making the Party relevant)

via Green Party Leadership: Shahrar Ali, or Rosi Sexton? (Making the Party relevant)

I have not even got a whiff of a Green Party election? The green party has ceased to be even remotely relevant.
I made this FIlm in Support of Shahrar two years ago, I think its tongue in Cheek critique of Green Identity Politics portents to the irrelevance the Green party has now attained!

Leadership battle in the Green Party

via Leadership battle in the Green Party

I have not even got a whiff of a Green Party election? The green party has ceased to be even remotely relevant.
I made this FIlm in Support of Shahrar two years ago, I think its tongue in Cheek critique of Green Identity Politics portents to the irrelevance the Green party has now attained!

Lenanton’s, Ghosts of deals past and a GoldiLocks Moment. “Who’s Been Eating My Porridge.”

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via Lenanton’s

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Reblogged this on Not The Grub Street Journal and commented:
Lots of Memories Here.

https://www.yumpu.com/s/s2YvuLMWGjZADUTy

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#166. Lines of contagion WordPress Comments, Google Algos. #WrongKindofGreen #GreenNewDeal #EUGreenDeal #ZeroBrains #ZeroCarbon @Albion_Rover @_Spinflight_ @mikeukc @briangukc @Nigel_Farage @SupportOurLefty @MrTardigradeUK @Ian56789 @IanRCrane @RealM_Shrimpton #WrongKindofGreen @JoeBlob20 @financialeyes

via #166. Lines of contagion

I had given up, but faith restored in free speech etc. The problem started after I posted a Video of Bjorn Lomberg the Skeptical Environmentalist of Coolit fame. Wrong Kind of Green posted this video yesterday.

 

There fixed it.

This article of theirs appears further up this or in a previous thread.

http://www.wrongkindofgreen.org/tag/european-green-deal/

There is something of the Dr Strangeloves about Von Der Leyen.

This Climate Realism Report is very good. https://www.yumpu.com/en/document/read/63108553/there-is-no-climate-emergency

https://twitter.com/GrubStreetJorno/status/1237577357285707776

This effort to Listen to the Scientists is rather a poor effort I thought.

This is I think a far more measured presentation with some actual Science. Its in German but the subtitle auto translate works, Click the Wheel bottom right and change language to your preferred language.

Here is the Lomberg Video again

And finally What is the problem we are trying to solve. Defined by a former Director of the world bank.

The 2018 and 2019 local election results suggested the Conservatives might struggle to get a majority at the next general election

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via The 2018 and 2019 local election results suggested the Conservatives might struggle to get a majority at the next general election

I do think this is a very promising Indicator. The spread in the Opinion Polls seems so wide as if two different weighting factors are in use.

https://notthegrubstreetjournal.com/2019/12/11/capons-turkeys-and-norweigan-blues-ge2019will-santa-finds-out-whose-naughty-and-nice-who-will-win-the-race-for-number-ten-grub-street-says-corbyn-wiki-ballot-says-johnson-who-believes-in-santa-a/

Heres my own bale string analysis with a bit of gaffer tape, every little helps it may not be pretty but it’s enthusiastic and well-meant. I suspect you chaps are on the money. The range of seats predicted by the polling extremes is 14 seat majority at the low end and 114 seats at the high end, the final vote, in my opinion, will break one way or the other on the day, depending on two things, Turnout as in 2017 will be key, is it the Brexit election and will disgruntled Brexit voters from 2016 turn out in force and Vote for “BRINO”, and secondly The don’t know’s, will they go for one side or the other or simply not bother? So my prediction is this, it will either be a Hung Parliament with Labour short by up to 30 or so seats or a Tory Majority in excess of 100 seats. And the telling factor will be whether or not the Norweigan Blue is in fact deceased.

https://electionsetc.com/2019/12/11/the-2018-and-2019-local-election-results-suggested-the-conservatives-might-struggle-to-get-a-majority-at-the-next-general-election/

Applying the same method again, the table below shows that both the 2018 and 2019 rounds of local elections point to a clear lead for the Conservatives in a subsequent general election. However, the forecast shares of the vote from both rounds do not suggest a big enough lead for the Conservatives to be sure of an overall majority. On the average of the two set of vote shares, coupled with a uniform change projection (also using last night’s YouGov MrP projected SNP and PC vote shares) points to a very narrow Conservative majority of 8.

Party Forecast share based on 2018 results Forecast share based on 2019 results Average forecast share Standard Error of share forecast Seats forecast
Con 40.8 36 38.4 4 329
Lab 33.8 29 31.4 4 231
LD 13.4 15.4 14.4 4 23
Other 12 19.6 15.8 4 65

The fact that a forecast based on local elections 7 and 19 months ago should be so close to last night’s YouGov MrP projection of Con 339, Lab 231, LD 15 is remarkable. There is just a difference of 10 seats for the Tories and none for Labour.

About understanding, Grey Space , Joining Dots and Federated Scepticism. @TiddlyWiki @Jermolene @cliscep @devilskitchen

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https://tiddlywiki.com/

via About

 

About


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The climate sceptic blogosphere is becoming crowded

The climate sceptic blogosphere is becoming crowded to the point that it’s difficult to keep up. Several of us (all British or UK based so far), are getting weary of the effort of grinding out several articles a month simply in order to remain visible. It’s not that we haven’t got something to say – rather that we’d like to take the time to say it as audibly and as clearly as possible.

Our thinking in launching this new blog (called – very originally – Climate Scepticism) is that a joint site, with more frequent and more varied articles, would be more visible and possibly more useful. We don’t aim to compete with Bishop Hill or WattsUpWithThat on the news-gathering front, but to assemble a number of disparate voices in a joint venture. There’s no “party line” or rulebook, and certainly no 97% consensus about anything.

So far we are:

Geoff Chambers – geoffchambers.wordpress.com
Alex Cull – alexjc38.wordpress.com & sites.google.com/site/mytranscriptbox
Richard Drake – rdrake98.github.io
Tom Fuller – 3000quads.com
Jaime Jessop – climatecontrarian.wordpress.com
Brad Keyes – climatenuremberg.com
Paul Matthews – ipccreport.wordpress.com
Ben Pile  – climate-resistance.org
John Ridgway
John Shade – climatelessons.blogspot.com
Danny Weston
Ian Woolley – livefromgolgafrincham.org

You can follow us on twitter at @cliscep

If you’re interested in joining us, for example by contributing an article, drop us a line here. In the immortal words of Professor Phil Jones: “The internet has allowed all these people to find one another – unfortunately”

[The image shown here and on our masthead is of the Greek philosopher Pyrrho, founder of philosophical scepticism. Hover over the image for an explanation of the Latin and German text.]

 

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if you do get in touch!

Fake News? Diamonds In The Cesspool #GrubStreetJournal

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A Wonderful Site, We are building a web 3 publishing platform presently in the tradition of Radical Reviews and Pamphlets. https://notthegrubstreetjournal.com/2019/08/23/the-grub-street-journal-curator-for-the-multi-media-makers-a-librarian-consultant-for-the-readers-and-viewers-exegesis-hermeneutics-flux-capacitor-back-to-the-future-of-radical-publishing/ https://notthegrubstreetjournal.com/ https://grubstreetjournal.visualstories.com/ https://grubstreetjournal.beezer.com/ https://rogerglewis13.wixsite.com/newgrubstreetjournal The Grub Street Journal Freedom of Speech, Censorship The Ethereum Daily Part of the Grub Street Journal EOS, Everipedia, and a whole lot more, This Space is Fast-moving and Dynamic hence ongoing work on.

via Fake News? Diamonds In The Cesspool

Diamonds in the cesspool: Recommended news sites branded by mainstream propagandist media as ‘fake news’…

Corporate/military propagandists & intelligence agencies’ assault on bloggers/social media

fakenews

by Tony Gosling, Bristol, 20th January 2017

Fake fake news – is a page dedicated to some of Martin Summers and Tony Gosling’s picks of the world’s best internet news sites and aggregators which, because they are showing up mainstream media (MSM) lies, are, as of US president Barack Obama’s visit to Germany on Thursday 17th November 2016, being blacklisted and denounced to public and press by the mainstream London and Washington media. A common thread running between most of these ‘fake news’ sites is many don’t accept the official account of Al Qaeda/Bin Laden being behind the 2001, 9/11 attacks on New York and Washington.

fakenewws

Google had just released their ‘fake news warning’ apps two days before, on Tuesday 15th November 2016: Three Chrome extensions to cut fake news out of your life.

Two types of lists of ‘fake news’ are being published, some list only commercial disinformation and sensationalist websites but most deliberately mix up the world’s most reliable sources of internet news with the deliberate disinformation sites in an attempt to ‘contaminate’, or reduce traffic to the legitimate sites and awareness of the issues they raise. An attempt to discredit critiques of EU/US corporate propaganda. All disinfo. sites also include some genuine stories, usually reproduced from legitimate sources.

Diamonds in the cesspool:

All the following websites appear on the CIA and their outlets’ ‘fake news’ lists

Global Research – Michel Chossudovsky – professor of economics at the University of Ottawa and the president and director of the Centre for Research on Globalization – www.GlobalResearch.ca

Brazil based: The Intercept, to which Edward Snowden entrusted his initial ‘Prism’ NSA/GCHQ leaks and subsequently much more https://www.theintercept.com

1000 times better than corporate owned Wikipedia – WikiSpooks – Robin Upton – www.WikiSpooks.com

Daily Anti War News – Justin Raimondo – www.AntiWar.com

Veterans of the Israeli attack on US Navy ship USS Liberty – www.USSlibertyVeterans.org

World’s first 911 Truth site – Voltaire Network – Thierry Meyssan – www.VoltaireNet.org/en

Washington’s blog – www.WashingtonsBlog.com

Information Clearing House – recommended here by ex-Bristol MP Tony Benn – www.InformationClearingHouse.info

Zero Hedge – www.ZeroHedge.com

Intelligence Hub – www.IntelliHub.com

The Duran – Alexander Mercouris – www.TheDuran.com

Former UN military analyst – The Saker – www.TheSaker.is

Blacklisted News – www.BlacklistedNews.com

Consortium News – www.ConsortiumNews.com

21st Century Wire – Patrick Henningson – www.21stCenturyWire.com

Foreign Policy Journal – www.ForeignPolicyJournal.com

Investment Watch – www.InvestmentWatchBlog.com

New Eastern Outlook – www.Journal-NEO.org

Mint Press News – www.MintPressNews.com

Former economic adviser to US president Ronald Reagan – Paul Craig Roberts – www.PaulCraigRoberts.org

Pravda – Russian – www.PravdaReport.com

Iran State Broadcasting service – www.PressTV.ir

Resistance Is Not Futile – Mick Meaney – www.RINF.com

Russian State Broadcasting service – Russia Today – www.RT.com

Russia Insider – www.Russia-Insider.com

Signs Of The Times – Quantum Future Group (QFG) – www.SOTT.net

Peoples’ military analysis site – www.SouthFront.org

Russian State radio service – www.SputnikNews.com

Strategic Culture – www.Strategic-Culture.org

We Are Change – Luke Rudkowski – www.WeAreChange.org

Breitbart News – www.Breitbart.com

Natural News – www.NaturalNews.com

The Fourth Media – www.4thMedia.org

The Corbett report – James Corbett – www.CorbettReport.com

Countercurrents – www.Countercurrents.org

What Really Happened – Mike Rivero’s news aggregator – www.WhatReallyHappened.com

Wikileaks – Julian Assange – www.WikiLeaks.org

CIA ‘Fake news’ sites, listed and denounced by:

Melissa Zimdars – an assistant professor of communication at Merrimack College in Massachusetts – False, Misleading, Clickbait-y, and Satirical “News” Sources

Anonymous – An ‘independent team of concerned American citizens with a wide range of backgrounds and expertise’ – Prop Or Not – Is It Propaganda Or Not?

Andrew Couts – The Daily Dot – Here are all the ‘fake news’ sites to watch out for on Facebook

Corners of free news – fie on all MILINCOM mass media propaganda

www.globalresearch.ca The Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG) is an independent research and media organization based in Montreal.  The CRG is a registered non-profit organization in the province of Quebec, Canada

www.911forum.org.uk long-running 9/11 discussion news site which Tony edits

www.thesaker.is Judge me not by what I say about myself, but by my blog or, better, my book.  All of the above is true, but these are my *external life circumstances* and they do not say much about who I really *am*.  My writings do.  Study them (if so inclined) and you will know who I am.

www.washingtonsblog.com Government leaders are doing all of the wrong things for the economy, and that the economy cannot fundamentally stabilize – and we cannot regain prosperity – unless:

Launched on March 26, 2002SOTT.net is a research project of the non-profit Quantum Future Group (QFG). The project includes collecting, arranging, and analyzing news items that seem to best reflect the dominant ‘energies’ on the planet. This research further includes noting whether or not human beings, individually and/or collectively, can actually remember from one day to the next the state of the planet, and whether they are able to accurately read that information and make intelligent decisions about their future based on that knowledge. In short, SOTT.net is an experiment.  Today, SOTT is comprised of an international body of 159 volunteer editors, including many leading-edge professionals in the so-called hard sciences, medicine, history, sociology, psychology, engineering, and information technology. Whatever the topic, SOTT.net has an expert (or two!) who handles content in that particular field.

Please add your top news sites, ‘fake news’ lists and comments below

 

David Malone: Ungarbled (I Hope) Pt.1 A review of My interview of David Malone #GolemXIV #GrubStreetJournal meet @1000frolly 1000FrollyPhD ‏

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David Malone: Ungarbled (I Hope) Pt.1

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Roger Lewis and David Malone: One Interview To Unite Them All.

First of all, I’d like to introduce the interviewer Roger Lewis (left) who was, to me, most unexpected in his approach, the interview was no love in and he was not afraid to challenge David on the basis of his own views and outlook, for example on Brexit. I only know Roger through the blogosphere and the first surprise to me was his appearance. I’d imagined him as the type who went to bed in a suit and tie and only slightly loosened his collar when the temperature exceeded 35 degrees celsius. Instead I was confronted by a sanitised version of Catweasle! Long flowing locks and moustache, I hope he’ll forgive the Catweasle reference, casual clothes but a razor-sharp mind. There was an obvious chemistry between the two so even in times of disagreement there was no shouting across each other, both were able to make their points informatively.

via David Malone: Ungarbled (I Hope) Pt.1

This Interview was over two years ago, it was the previous Summer which I spent assisting David with his Leadership bid for the Green Party of England and Wales,

There has been a lot of water flowed under the Ye Olde Pont since then, as they say, and if a week is a long time in politics then the past 4 years has been an Eon, certainly, some sort of warp in space-time or maybe a paradigm shift has occurred.

From my first comment on Davids Blog and since I started reading that Blog after following a reference to it from Sturdy Blog which was a staple of my reading at the time, Davids approach has always been one of encouragement and inspiration.

Steve Finney permalink
April 22, 2011 1:59 pm

Hi there, now you are as angry as myself, the biggest financial scam in history. Great statistical research you have there. You might be interested in checking out David Malone’s blog, author of “The Debt Generation” it is a goldmine of relevant information concerning this subject & others relevant to it. Thank You for your efforts.

http://golemxiv-credo.blogspot.com/

 

 

 

 

I started Blogging more seriously after a discussion on Davids Blog which led to both My Epic Poem Usury Hells Fuel, as well as the MMT Chainsaw man cartoon and another friendship with Wesly Freeberg.

David and I occupy separate sides of the debate on Climate and in Bills blog here I just note what a pleasure it is always to chat with David even when we do not agree.

There was an obvious chemistry between the two so even in times of disagreement there was no shouting across each other, both were able to make their points informatively.

Malone: Ungarbled Pt 2.

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Everybody Is Wrong About Everything. (Except Me)

In the next segment David and Roger discuss Neo-Liberalism (NL) which I attempted to do here and here.

The Green Party Climate Change Bit.

On Climate Change and The Spectre of Green Party Stalisnist denier Gulags, I have been busy fighting a rearguard action for quite some time now against a climate of Climate Activist religious topic sliding.

https://collapseofindustrialcivilization.com/2015/03/27/bloodwatch/

Bloodwatch

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When past predictions of future catastrophic events like ice sheet meltspreading tropical diseases, and forest fragmentation start to become reality while no substantial means to prevent them from happening has ever been implemented, you begin to question the phrase so often bandied about that “it’s never too late.” It was never too late decades ago and we’re still holding out on that hope. Despite any techno-utopian fantasies you hear in the news, economic activity and growth are still linked to CO2 emissions. Until this fundamental truth is dealt with, we’ll all be spinning our wheels and wringing our hands over our continued descent into ecological and societal collapse. Perhaps this is part of the reason I have not blogged recently. As Leonard Nimoy expressed in his last twitter message, I think I’ll try to enjoy the here and now while I’m alive…

Snap 2015-03-27 at 03.44.20

The following is a guest post by commenter BP:

 

Rupert J Read On The Couch, The Intellectual Alarmist.

Extinction Rebellion GIF-downsized_large

My new paper, a kind of ‘sequel’ to (it’s been published next in the same series as) Jem Bendell’s epochal and massively-influential paper on ‘Deep adaptation’, is out: https://iflas.blogspot.com/…/post-civilisation-iflas-occasi…
Please read/circulate. Thanks. This is perhaps my most-significant yet contribution to the emerging discourse around preparing ourselves to face up to potential climate- and societal- collapse:
IFLAS.BLOGSPOT.COM
IFLAS is pleased that philosopher, Chair of Green House thinktank, and leading member of Extinction Rebellion, Dr Rupert Read has

YouTube Tip: As usual run at Settings; Playback Speed; Times 1.5

Climate Science 1; There is No “Greenhouse Effect”

 

This video is the first in a series which will outline the scientific reasons why a new null hypothesis of climate change is needed, and what is wrong with the current one, which assumes a 33c surface enhancement from the so-called “Greenhouse Effect” of “Greenhouse Gases”. it will be shown that there is another cause of this surface thermal enhancement, and that the so-called “Greenhouse Gases” cannot be responsible for it. The ‘greenhouse effect’ is where a 33c atmospheric thermal enhancement at the Earth’s surface, is alleged to be caused by a class of gases called ‘greenhouse gases’. I will show, in this series, that the claimed 33c enhancement from those gases does not exist. YouTube Tip: As usual run at Settings; Playback Speed; Times 1.5

References; Holmes, R. I. (2018). Thermal Enhancement on Planetary Bodies and the Relevance of the Molar Mass Version of the Ideal Gas Law to the Null Hypothesis of Climate Change. Earth, 7(3), 107-123.

Climate Science 2; There is No “Extra Warming” to Explain

This the second in my Climate Science series debunking the greenhouse effect. Climate Science 1 revealed that our atmosphere is not like a greenhouse; instead it’s the exact opposite – it’s capable of expansion and convection. Here we explore the science and the climate cycles which the IPCC forgot to mention, and how they are totally controlling all current climate change. We find that there actually is no ‘extra’ warming that we need to invoke a supposed ‘greenhouse effect’ from CO2 or other ‘greenhouse gases’ to fill. Correction to CO2 forcing at 9:42 it is 0.01W/m2 not 0.1W/m2. YouTube Tip: As usual run at Settings; Playback Speed; Times 1.5 References; Shaviv, N. J. (2003). The spiral structure of the Milky Way, cosmic rays, and ice age epochs on Earth. New Astronomy, 8(1), 39-77. Cederlöf, M. (2014). Using seasonal variations to estimate earth’s response to radiative forcing. Shaviv, N. J. (2003). The spiral structure of the Milky Way, cosmic rays, and ice age epochs on Earth. New Astronomy, 8(1), 39-77. 65 million years of climate change (WIKI Commons) 5 million years of climate change (WIKI Commons) Loehle, C. (2007). A 2000-year global temperature reconstruction based on non-treering proxies. Energy & Environment, 18(7), 1049-1058. Usoskin, I. G., Solanki, S., & Kovaltsov, G. (2007). Grand minima and maxima of solar activity: new observational constraints. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 471(1), 301-309. Steinhilber, F., Abreu, J. A., Beer, J., Brunner, I., Christl, M., Fischer, H., . . . McCracken, K. G. (2012). 9,400 years of cosmic radiation and solar activity from ice cores and tree rings. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109(16), 5967-5971. Lüdecke, H.-J. (2011). Long-term instrumental and reconstructed temperature records contradict anthropogenic global warming. Energy & Environment, 22(6), 723-745. C-14 record from the USGA Lüdecke, H.-J., Hempelmann, A., & Weiss, C. (2013). Multi-periodic climate dynamics: spectral analysis of long-term instrumental and proxy temperature records. Climate of the Past, 9(1), 447-452. Sromovsky, L., Fry, P., Limaye, S., & Baines, K. (2003). The nature of Neptune’s increasing brightness: Evidence for a seasonal response. Icarus, 163(1), 256-261. Schmude Jr, R. W., Baker, R. E., Fox, J., Krobusek, B. A., Pavlov, H., & Mallama, A. (2016). The secular and rotational brightness variations of Neptune. arXiv preprint arXiv:1604.00518.

Climate Science 3; There is No “Greenhouse Effect” on Venus Either

 

This the third in my Climate Science series debunking the so-called ‘greenhouse effect’. Climate Science 1 revealed that our atmosphere is not like a greenhouse; instead it’s the exact opposite – it’s capable of expansion and convection. Climate Science 2 explored the science and the climate cycles which the IPCC forgot to mention, and how they are totally controlling all current climate change. We find that there actually is no ‘extra’ warming that we need to invoke a supposed ‘greenhouse effect’ from CO2 or other ‘greenhouse gases’ to fill. Climate Science 3 looks into the claim that Venus is hot because of the ‘greenhouse effect’ of carbon dioxide. The calculation I did for Venus at 11:30 also works out for Titan, (another body with a surface pressure of over 1 bar). I have done it here; Titan Tt =∜0.01089 x Te Tt = 0.323 x 288 Tt = 93 Kelvin This gives the calculated temperature on Titan at 1 bar as 93 Kelvin. Measurements by the lander Huygens in it’s descent trough the Titan atmosphere, show that the temperature at 1 bar is around 90 Kelvin. PLEASE! I did not say that the bottom ~4km of atmosphere of Venus is a ‘liquid’ or a ‘solid’! It is a super-critical fluid. Please read the definition here; https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Supercr… YouTube Tip: As usual run at Settings; Playback Speed; Times 1.5 References; Hollingsworth, J., Young, R., Schubert, G., Covey, C., & Grossman, A. (2007). A simple‐physics global circulation model for Venus: Sensitivity assessments of atmospheric superrotation. Geophysical Research Letters, 34(5). Svedhem, H., Titov, D. V., Taylor, F. W., & Witasse, O. (2007). Venus as a more Earth-like planet. Nature, 450(7170), 629-632. Landis, G., Dyson, R., McGuire, M., Oleson, S., Schmidt, G., Grantier, J., . . . Fincannon, J. (2011). Human Telerobotic Exploration of Venus: A Flexible Path Design Study. Paper presented at the 49th AIAA Aerospace Sciences Meeting including the New Horizons Forum and Aerospace Exposition. Moroz, V., Ekonomov, A., Moshkin, B., Revercomb, H., Sromovsky, L., Schofield, J., . . . Tomasko, M. G. (1985). Solar and thermal radiation in the Venus atmosphere. Advances in Space Research, 5(11), 197-232. Jelbring, H. (2003). The “Greenhouse Effect” as a Function of Atmospheric Mass. Energy & Environment, 14(2), 351-356. Pauli, W. (1988). Exclusion principle, Lorentz group and reflection of space-time and charge Wolfgang Pauli (pp. 459-479): Springer.

Climate Science 4; The Ice CO2 Record is “Probably Wrong” Too.

 

This the fourth in my Climate Science series debunking the so-called ‘greenhouse effect’. Climate Science 4; The Ice Core Record of CO2 is “Probably Wrong” Too. Climate Science 1 revealed that our atmosphere is not like a greenhouse; instead it’s the exact opposite – it’s capable of expansion and convection. Climate Science 2 explored the science and the climate cycles which the IPCC forgot to mention, and how they are totally controlling all current climate change. We find that there actually is no ‘extra’ warming that we need to invoke a supposed ‘greenhouse effect’ from CO2 or other ‘greenhouse gases’ to fill. Climate Science 3 looked into the claim that Venus is hot because of the ‘greenhouse effect’ of carbon dioxide. Climate Science 4 looks into the ice core record for CO2, and critically examines whether it is correct or not. REFERENCES; UAH MSU satellite temperature graph, 1979-2019 EPICA DOME C ice core record, NOAA Luthi, 2008. Earth System Laboratory, Moana Loa CO2 record, 1958-2019n Petit, J.-R., Jouzel, J., Raynaud, D., Barkov, N. I., Barnola, J.-M., Basile, I., . . . Delaygue, G. (1999). Climate and atmospheric history of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok ice core, Antarctica. Nature, 399(6735), 429-436. Shaviv, N. J., & Veizer, J. (2003). Celestial driver of Phanerozoic climate? GSA today, 13(7), 4-10. IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report 2014 Ciais, P., Sabine, C., Bala, G., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V., Canadell, J., . . . Heimann, M. (2014). Carbon and other biogeochemical cycles Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 465-570): Cambridge University Press. Steinthorsdottir, M., Wohlfarth, B., Kylander, M. E., Blaauw, M., & Reimer, P. J. (2013). Stomatal proxy record of CO 2 concentrations from the last termination suggests an important role for CO 2 at climate change transitions. Quaternary science reviews, 68, 43-58. Barnola, J. M., Raynaud, D. Y. S. N., Korotkevich, Y. S., & Lorius, C. (1987). Vostok ice core provides 160,000-year record of atmospheric CO2. Nature, 329(6138), 408. Barnola, J., Anklin, M., Porcheron, J., Raynaud, D., Schwander, J., & Stauffer, B. (1995). CO2 evolution during the last millennium as recorded by Antarctic and Greenland ice. Tellus B, 47(1‐2), 264-272. McKay, C. P., Pollack, J. B., & Courtin, R. (1991). The greenhouse and antigreenhouse effects on Titan. Science, 253(5024), 1118-1121. Jaworowski, Z., Segalstad, T. V., & Ono, N. (1992). Do glaciers tell a true atmospheric CO 2 story? Science of the total environment, 114, 227-284. Kouwenberg, L. L. R. (2004). Application of conifer needles in the reconstruction of Holocene CO2 levels. Liu, Y., Cai, Q., Song, H., An, Z., & Linderholm, H. W. (2011). Amplitudes, rates, periodicities and causes of temperature variations in the past 2485 years and future trends over the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau. Chinese science bulletin, 56(28), 2986-2994. Fonselius, S., Koroleff, F., & WÄRME, K. E. (1956). Carbon dioxide variations in the atmosphere. Tellus, 8(2), 176-183. Slocum, G. (1955). Has the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere changed significantly since the beginning of the twentieth century. Month. Weather Rev, 83, 225-231. Lepori, L., Bussolino, G., Matteoli, E., & Spanedda, A. On the increase of fossil CO2 in the atmosphere. Segalstad, T. V. (1998). Carbon cycle modelling and the residence time of natural and anthropogenic atmospheric CO2. BATE, R.(Ed., 1998): Global Warming, 184-219. Quirk, T. (2009). Sources and sinks of carbon dioxide. Energy & Environment, 20(1), 105-121. Harde, H. (2014). Advanced Two-Layer Climate Model for the Assessment of Global Warming by CO2. Harde, H. (2017). Scrutinizing the carbon cycle and CO 2 residence time in the atmosphere. Global and Planetary Change, 152, 19-26. Lepori, L., Bussolino, G., Matteoli, E., & Spanedda, A. On the increase of fossil CO2 in the atmosphere. Allen, M. R., Barros, V. R., Broome, J., Cramer, W., Christ, R., Church, J. A., . . . Dubash, N. K. (2014). IPCC Fifth Assessment Synthesis Report-Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report. Essenhigh, R. H. (2009). Potential dependence of global warming on the residence time (RT) in the atmosphere of anthropogenically sourced carbon dioxide. Energy & Fuels, 23(5), 2773-2784. Lüdecke, H.-J., Weiss, C., & Hempelmann, A. (2015). Paleoclimate forcing by the solar De Vries/Suess cycle. Climate of the Past Discussions, 11(1), 279-305. Last Graph; Neff, U., Burns, S., Mangini, A., Mudelsee, M., Fleitmann, D., & Matter, A. (2001). Strong coherence between solar variability and the monsoon in Oman between 9 and 6 ky ago. Nature, 411(6835), 290-293.

Climate Science 5; The IPCC’s Forcing Estimates are Wrong Too

This the fifth in my Climate Science series debunking the so-called ‘greenhouse effect’. Climate Science 5; The IPCCs Forcing Estimates are Wrong Too. REFERENCES; Neyman, J. (1937). X—outline of a theory of statistical estimation based on the classical theory of probability. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. CMIP5 Models uses 73 and 42 models. Compartison with HadCRUT4 courtesy Ed Hawkins, 2013. Carbon-14 from the US Geological Survey, last 1,000 years. HadCRUT3 data; http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/tem… Scafetta, N. (2010). Empirical evidence for a celestial origin of the climate oscillations and its implications. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, 72(13), 951-970. Foukal, P., at al (2006). Variations in solar luminosity and their effect on the Earth’s climate. Nature, 443(7108), 161-166. Svensmark, H. (2007b). Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges. Astronomy & Geophysics, 48(1), 1.18-11.24. Aizen, E. M., et al (2016). Abrupt and moderate climate changes in the mid-latitudes of Asia during the Holocene. Journal of glaciology, 62(233), 411-439. Rosenthal, Y., Linsley, B. K., & Oppo, D. W. (2013). Pacific ocean heat content during the past 10,000 years. Science, 342(6158), 617-621. Lüdecke, H.-J. (2011). Long-term instrumental and reconstructed temperature records contradict anthropogenic global warming. Energy & Environment, 22(6), 723-745. Rydval, M., et al. (2017). Reconstructing 800 years of summer temperatures in Scotland from tree rings. Climate Dynamics, 1-24. Zhang, H., at al (2015). Late Holocene climate change and anthropogenic activities in north Xinjiang: Evidence from a peatland archive, the Caotanhu wetland. The Holocene, 25(2), 323-332. Yan, H., et al. (2014). Higher sea surface temperature in the northern South China Sea during the natural warm periods of late Holocene than recent decades. Chinese science bulletin, 59(31), 4115-4122. Orth, R., et al (2016). Did European temperatures in 1540 exceed present-day records? Environmental Research Letters, 11(11), 114021. Kaniewski, D.et al (2011). The medieval climate anomaly and the Little Ice Age in coastal Syria inferred from pollen-derived palaeoclimatic patterns. Global and Planetary Change, 78(3), 178-187. Ladurie, E. L. R., Delibrias, G., & Ladurie, M. L. R. (1975). La forêt de Grindelwald: nouvelles datations. Paper presented at the Annales. Économies, Sociétés, Civilisations. Lamb, H. H. (2013). Climate: Present, Past and Future (Routledge Revivals): Volume 1: Fundamentals and Climate Now (Vol. 1): Routledge. Tozer, C. R., Vance, T. R., Roberts, J. L., Kiem, A. S., Curran, M. A., & Moy, A. D. (2016). An ice core derived 1013-year catchment-scale annual rainfall reconstruction in subtropical eastern Australia. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20(5), 1703. He, Y., Liu, W., Zhao, C., Wang, Z., Wang, H., Liu, Y., . . . Liu, Z. (2013). Solar influenced late Holocene temperature changes Usoskin, I. G., Solanki, S., & Kovaltsov, G. (2007). Grand minima and maxima of solar activity: new observational constraints. Solanki, S. K., Usoskin, I. G., Kromer, B., Schüssler, M., & Beer, J. (2004). Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years. Nature, 431(7012), 1084-1087. Scafetta, N., & Willson, R. C. (2014). ACRIM total solar irradiance satellite composite validation versus TSI proxy models. Shapiro, A., Schmutz, W., Rozanov, E., Schoell, M., Haberreiter, M., Shapiro, A., & Nyeki, S. (2011). A new approach to the long-term reconstruction of the solar irradiance leads to large historical solar forcing. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 529, A67. Herrera, V. V., Mendoza, B., & Herrera, G. V. (2015). Reconstruction and prediction of the total solar irradiance: Svensmark, H. (2007b). Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges. Astronomy & Geophysics, 48(1), 1.18-11.24. Shaviv, N. J. (2008). Using the oceans as a calorimeter to quantify the solar radiative forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, 113(A11). Neff, U., Burns, S., Mangini, A., Mudelsee, M., Fleitmann, D., & Matter, A. (2001). Strong coherence between solar variability and the monsoon in Oman between 9 and 6 ky ago. Nature, 411(6835), 290-293. Gouretski, V., Kennedy, J., Boyer, T., & Köhl, A. (2012). Consistent near‐surface ocean warming since 1900 in two largely independent observing networks. Lansner, F., & Pedersen, J. O. P. (2018). Temperature trends with reduced impact of ocean air temperature, Energy & Environment Ljungqvist, F. C. (2010). A new reconstruction of temperature variability in the extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere during the last two millennia.

 

1000 frolly is Dr Robert Holmes

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YouTube has Dr Holmes’ advertising funding totally! How to support his important work., and of course evidence-based science; Patreon support; https://www.patreon.com/1000Frolly

My ETSY shop;

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Thank You!

#GrubStreetScience

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#153.Sceptics, Further Discussion. Climate Religion #Perspectiva Mathematics of Climate Change and Climate Change Alarmism @JoanneNova #GrubStreetJournalPolitics,#GrubStreetScience #GrubStreetEnergy #GrubStreetGreenFascism #GrubStreetWrongKindOfGreen #DasFeel

 

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#153. One for the sceptics

THE STRICTLY ECONOMIC CASE FOR ENERGY TRANSITION

We need to be rather careful about the term “opinion is divided”.

via #153. One for the sceptics

This is an excellent Paper on the Mathematics of Climate Change and Climate Change Alarmism, Climatology as opposed to Climate Politics,

http://www.scmsa.eu/archives/SCM_RC_2015_08_24_EN.pdf

SCM SA Paper Climate absurdity.jpg

 

 

“The impact on the entire field of scientific research is particularly clear and especially
pernicious. No project can be launched, on any subject whatsoever, unless it makes direct
reference to global warming. You want to look at the geology of the Garonne Basin? It is,
after all, an entirely normal and socially useful subject in every respect. Well, your research
will be funded, approved and published only if it mentions the potential for geological
storage of CO2. It is appalling.”

1. This simple calculation clearly demonstrates that there are not enough stations to model
the surface temperature of the globe, and satellites cannot replace surface stations. The
reduction in the number of sensors being used is fundamentally unsound: temperature
varies from one place to another, from one hour to the next, and this natural variability can
be tracked only by a very dense network of sensors. p.16

2. Determining an average temperature for a system as complex as the Earth has no physical
meaning. Unfortunately, this question, fundamental though it is, has never been tackled by
organizations involved in meteorology. For them, the answer is simple: you take all the
sensors and calculate the average! p.23

3. According to the British Met Office, ‗The global average temperature is
the arithmetic mean of the northern hemisphere average and the southern hemisphere
average.‘
This type of reasoning is being used by all the international bodies, and one might
legitimately question its validity. The thermodynamic mean, for its part, is too complicated
to apply and requires the use of models (with all their limitations and uncertainties).
We might, however, wonder why the arithmetic mean is also being used in areas that are
less well provided with sensors or have very high or very low temperatures. If we content
ourselves with an unweighted arithmetic mean, then areas with the highest density of
sensors are going to be over-represented!
Our conclusion here is very clear:

SCM SA White paper “Global Warming”, 2015/09
– to calculate the arithmetic mean for the entire planet makes no sense and can only
lead to errors;
– you can calculate the arithmetic mean for areas well provided with sensors (Europe
and the US), and compare the values from one year to another. This might provide
information on local climate variation. p.26/27

4. On CO2 Measurement and concentration,
Our conclusion is very clear: the entire methodology used to observe CO2 has to be
overhauled before we can even think about the results that have been obtained by these
observations. The first step is to correctly document the natural variability of CO2
concentrations (what affects them, and how do they manifest?). We must not forget that the
aim here is to make a global assessment of CO2 concentrations in the entire atmosphere.
Let us use a simple comparison to explain this. Let us imagine that we want to document
incidents of sins committed by human beings. Before concluding that ‗we can restrict our
investigations to the areas around cathedrals‘, which would at least have the merit of
simplicity, we would have to find out about the ‗natural‘ variability of sin. Perhaps, in fact,
more sins are committed far away from cathedrals? p.57

5. Cyclones.
3. Critical analysis
In this case, we have been able to obtain raw data and conduct our own analysis, which
clearly demonstrates, contrary to what we are all reading all the time, that there has been
no increase in the number of cyclones over the past 40 years. We have found a slight
increase in the number of Category 4 and 5 cyclones (the strongest), but the numbers are
very small each year, and the increase might simply be due to changes in ‗accounting
methods‘.
A common deception is as follows: you begin by looking at cyclones that reach the US
mainland (the ones that affect people and insurance companies) and you count them. Then
you change the perimeter and include all cyclones in the North Atlantic, including ones that
disperse at sea. Of course, the second group is bigger!
As we said earlier, the statistics presented here cover all cyclones in the North Atlantic. p.67

6. Sea Level Rises.

a. Two kinds of instruments are used:
• Marigraphs, which have been around for 200 years;
• Altimetry satellites, which measure the height of the satellite above the ocean; they
have been around for 20 years, namely Topex/Poseidon (1992), Jason 1 (2001), Jason
2 (2008).
The water level varies naturally:
• Due to the tides (lunar attraction)
• Due to wind and storms
• Due to sea currents
This being so, the estimates provided by marigraphs and satellites can be no more than
averages, if possible over one year or several years, as phenomena such as El Niño affect
the sea level for a year or more. p.68
b. E. Be careful! On Models. ( https://www.bitchute.com/video/dv8avoovsHqr/)
As this issue has taken on a major political dimension, all kinds of statements are made by
absolutely anyone at all. Great care is therefore called for when accepting information.
1. Models
Conclusions based on any kind of model should be disregarded. As the SCM specializes in
building mathematical models, we should also be recognized as competent to criticize them.
Models are useful when attempting to review our knowledge, but they should not be used as
76
SCM SA White paper “Global Warming”, 2015/09

 

Critical analysis
The rising sea level is a basic thesis for journalists, to support the doctrine of global
warming. They say, ―Look, the sea is rising, and so we are in danger‖.
It is perfectly true that the sea level is rising, but essentially this is due to the cooling down
of the core of the terrestrial globe which has been taking place gradually for five billion
years. As a result of this contraction, the lighter areas (the oceans) tend to rise up in
relation to the heavier areas (the mountains). This is simply a consequence of buoyancy,
and human beings have nothing to do with it. p.77

That’s Chapter 1 summarised and is sufficient for responding to the Pariah Status proffered upon me by Ron.

I would close only by Pointing interested and critical thinkers at the work of Clive Spash and his Paper The Brave New World of Carbon Trading.

https://www.clivespash.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/2010_Spash_Brave_New_World_NPE.pdf

“A FIRE, A FIRE IS BURNING! I HEAR THE BOOT OF LUCIFER, I SEE HIS FILTHY FACE! AND IT IS MY FACE, AND YOURS, DANFORTH! FOR THEM THAT QUAIL TO BRING MEN OUT OF IGNORANCE, AS I HAVE QUAILED, AND AS YOU QUAIL NOW WHEN YOU KNOW IN ALL YOUR BLACKHEARTS THAT THIS BE FRAUD – GOD DAMNS OUR KIND ESPECIALLY, AND WE WILL BURN, WE WILL BURN TOGETHER!”
― ARTHUR MILLER, THE CRUCIBLE

 

http://joannenova.com.au/2015/10/french-society-of-mathematicians-global-warming-crusade-is-aburd-and-pointless/

The States Guide to Trolling the Web. Forum Sliding (NB)

https://notthegrubstreetjournal.com/2018/05/25/the-states-guide-to-trolling-the-web-gchq-and-nsa-101/

 

https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2019/09/02/155-the-art-of-dark-sky-thinking/

 

 

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